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From: Ahmet (no email)
Date: Tue Jun 20 2006 - 11:52:45 EDT
Well that is the point. Alberto went EXACTLY the way predicted, with the wind speeds PREDICTED. THis chart was available before they left.
SInce it was in the open atlantic, and was moving away from the US, there was not too much interest.
http://www.canada.com/globaltv/maritimes/story.html?id=d24b80d3-34e0-4367-bb75-ca043f305b88&k=53172
Is one independent story I found in Halifax, which was 200 nm north. If they had 78 km/h, it is not surprizing that if would be gusting to 108 (that is the max observed in the news report about Free Spirit)
Also, this was not a "hurricane" any more .. i.e. rotating. It was in a straight track, fairly localized heawy weather, which just blows over.
A friend of mine was on the "Almesian" last year on his way from Newport to Bermuda. The skipper lost his life, he and 3 other crew were eventually airlifted, another crew was picked up from the ocean the next day.
THey had steady wind of 30-40 knots, and that was enough to create 30 ft waves and bring a boat, that had made it to Bermuda 25 times, down.
These poor souls just happend to be in the wron spot in the wrong day. Had they have been 100 miles further west, they would have to deal only with 20-30 knot wind speeds. That is formidable too, but surviveable. This is based on US Buoy data. Canadian Buoyu data does unfortunately have no history.
wrote:
In a message dated 20/06/2006 16:25:28 GMT Daylight Time,
writes:
http://www.noaawatch.gov/images/alberto_trak_lg.gif
If you can see the colors you will see that Alberto intensified once it
reached the ocean around the Chesapeake
Ahmet
www.sailnomad.com
Well, IF you look at that chart PROPERLY you will see the 'ACTUAL' track
stopped on the 14th in well inland - when NOAA lost interest in this decaying
depression. Anything further is only a projection. Can i suggest that IF
Alberto had strengthened into even a Tropical Storm it would have been charted as
such - for sure if it became a Cat 3 hurricane there would be some evidence
of that somewhere on the NOAA site.
I still have not seen anything to make me change my mind re these 100 knot
winds - still don't believe that.
regards
David
[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]
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