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Re: T&T: Weather Roulette

From: Mike Maurice (no email)
Date: Wed Jun 07 2006 - 13:00:03 EDT

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    Mike Maurice wrote:
    > Robby & Dolores wrote:
    >> Mike would you post the URL for the Fleet Numeric Model you quoted in
    >> the subject post.
    >>
    >>
    An update on the saga of finding a weather window.
    About a week ago the Fleet Numeric Model was showing a calm area
    developing west of the Southern Calif. coast, sometime about now. There
    were also some indications of an offshore trend, but not necessarily
    extending very far offshore from the beach. In other words, some east
    wind pushing heated land air out over the ocean.

    In any event, the forecast now appears to have some serious laydown
    occurring near Pt. Conception sometime between Friday night and Sunday
    morning. It also appears that it may be blowing within 50 miles of the
    coast and even if the wind is light near the coast, the surface
    conditions may be pretty lumpy. Scott's boat has stabilizers and they
    will get a work out, if this comes about.

    Overall the conditions argue for moving a full displacement boat with
    stabilizers up the coast, as long as we don't come expecting a flat calm
    ocean. Conditions on up to San Francisco appear to be within reason,
    10-20 knots and may be better the further north we get. All this argues
    for making the attempt.

    Will make an effort to provide some updates while we are underway. On
    the other hand, if we disappear without a trace, you will have to factor
    that into your appreciation of the situation. After all this sector is a
    mirror image of the Bermuda Triangle.

    Regards,
    Mike
    _____________________________________
    Capt. Mike Maurice
    Beaverton Oregon(Near Portland)
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