Don Casey - Dragged Aboard Storm Tactics Handbook:
Modern Methods of Heaving-To for Survival in Extreme Conditions
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Re: Testing Scopes

From: Bill (no email)
Date: Thu Apr 20 2006 - 01:06:12 EDT

  • Next message: Frank Reed: "Re: Lunars: Thomson's Tables (missing message)"

    Alex

    Thank you for a thorough look at the scopes.

    > Remarks. Observations with |4SD-true.4SD|>.4 are discarded
    > as SNO-T manual recommends.

    As you know, I have some problems with 4SD comparisons where SD is taken
    literally from the almanac. Discarding observations where |4SD-true.4SD|>.4
    has to take into account mental interpolation of the almanac SD to be
    workable IMHO.

    For example:

    Date SD 4SD

    March 28 2006 16.1 64.4
    March 29 2006 16.0 64.0
    April 21 2006 16.0 64.0
    April 22 2006 15.9 63.6

    A change of nominally 0.005' in reality can cause a change of 0.1' SD in the
    almanac. If identically observations are taken a day apart near a rounding
    up or down, one might pass the test and the other not. If we interpolate
    around March 28/29 we have a more realistic 4SD of 64.2 to compare our
    observations against.

    In the worst-case scenario using the|4SD-true.4SD|>.4 rule around March
    28/29, +/- 0.2' error is already introduced into 4SD if using the almanac
    figures directly. That leaves 0.2' operator and sextant error for two
    tangency observations, or < 0.1' error per tangency. That's a tough mark to
    hit, and otherwise usable observations might be discarded (false negative).

    On the flip side of the coin--if it works the other way, some very sloppy
    observations might pass the test resulting in a false positive.

    Bill


  • Next message: Frank Reed: "Re: Lunars: Thomson's Tables (missing message)"



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